Well this is already pretty crazy. I did get it right to the high of the day. It hit the 38.2% retrace on the fib of $121.00 which I spoke about yesterday. So what will tomorrow bring. I am looking for it to go down to the $118.40 level and stutter before it goes to the $115.83. If we can get a close below the low of today on the daily charts at end of day tomorrow. This will be a great signal to get into puts. We shall see.
Author Archives: swing4it
Trades for 11/29/2011
I looked at two trades this morning. URBN and ALXN Pattern is a Pennant. The setup looks good but I cant get a 2:1. The targets are to low for my taste. Besides I think the market is going to turn down today.
Future Projection
Bounce to Resistance
I got it right today. The SPY bounced off of the 50% channel line and made it to the GAP. It may go to 121 in the morning before it rolls over. I say this because of the 38.2% Fibonacci. This should act as resistance. We shall see. So far with this strategy I am 11 of 16 trades successful.
Swingprob
Swingprob… Swing Trader with an emphasis on high probability trades. I am watching for patterns that indicate a good set up. Some of my favorite patterns are Channels, Triangles and Head and Shoulders to name a few. I will try to track the probability of each pattern and the trades associated with each. Here we go…
Bounce Possible Monday 11/28/2011
- Daily
- 5 Year
Here is a copy of the market as I see it currently. We are in a downtrend coming to a support level indicated by the downward channel 50% point. This is easiest to see by looking at the daily chart. Monday will be interesting. I am expecting the SPY to go up a little this week. It is a hard call due to what is happening in Europe. The Euro is causing the dollar to go up and thus causing the SPY to go down. I have quite a few puts currently and I am waiting for them to hit their targets.



