SPY Consolidation??

SPY03202013We might find a consolidation channel up here for a bit. If we break in either direction we should see a nice move. I am really curios what is going to come of this Cyprus banking / Euro / Russia situation. We have the Russians and EU meeting tomorrow and Friday. I think the Russians are pretty upset about what the EU is trying to accomplish. Think about this for a minute… You have your money safely tucked away in the bank and the governing bodies decide to tax what you have. Maybe we can get the fed to print some money and bail out Cyprus. Sure is entertaining.

Unemployment Good but not Good Enough….What about this Doji?

03092013Here is the deal. The unemployment report was good enough to make everyone feel warm and fuzzy. However it is not good enough to get the Fed to slow down the money machine. Traders understand that as long as the Fed is stimulating the market things are bullish. We should get a pull back soon but nothing like we saw in 2008. I just want to see the volatility continue.

Chart Read: The doji from Friday could be a sign that we are going to see a pull back. Doji candles are a sign of indecision. I am watching Monday for a possible move below the low of this doji which will give us confirmation that we are going to see the pull back. The high from Friday will act as resistance. If we break this top then who knows where we will find resistance. No buyers we are coming down. This is the higher odds. Monday I want to see price at resistance and get a strong pattern signaling down. If price is sitting on the pivot or S1 then I will be careful to go long. Happy Trading…

 

What a day. 1 win $NQ and $ES 1 loss with the #Binaries

Did two spreads on the $NQ which are like trading a straddle. $NQ Bought the 2710-2810 for 11.00 and Sold the 2610-2710 for 8.00 cost. This put the entire trade at 19.00 per contract entry. I sold it early today due to just being in the live testing phase. Made 42% on the trade….not bad. Here is the bad trade. We got into the confluence area this morning and got the signal. Sold the $ES <1505 at 48 and bought it back at 74.50. this was a 50% loss. So down a little on the day. Not bad considering the market screamed to the top side making new highs on the $YM.

Swingprob

Swingprob… Swing Trader with an emphasis on high probability trades. I am watching for patterns that indicate a good set up. Some of my favorite patterns are Channels, Triangles and Head and Shoulders to name a few. I will try to track the probability of each pattern and the trades associated with each. Here we go…